Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#319
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#324
Pace64.8#241
Improvement+2.7#72

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#312
Improvement-3.4#316

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#300
Improvement+6.1#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 281   VMI L 100-103 31%     0 - 1 -9.9 +3.0 -12.4
  Nov 12, 2011 301   Army W 83-72 38%     1 - 1 +2.0 +3.9 -2.4
  Nov 16, 2011 82   Clemson L 50-73 9%     1 - 2 -20.4 -22.1 +2.3
  Nov 26, 2011 235   @ High Point L 72-80 OT 15%     1 - 3 -9.0 -10.5 +2.1
  Dec 01, 2011 168   @ College of Charleston L 64-83 8%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -15.7 -12.9 -0.9
  Dec 03, 2011 199   @ Wofford L 63-82 11%     1 - 5 0 - 2 -17.5 -0.7 -19.3
  Dec 06, 2011 206   Coastal Carolina L 58-80 26%     1 - 6 -27.5 -18.0 -9.6
  Dec 14, 2011 184   Charleston Southern L 69-88 23%     1 - 7 -23.5 -10.1 -12.7
  Dec 19, 2011 249   @ James Madison L 49-67 17%     1 - 8 -19.7 -17.5 -5.4
  Dec 22, 2011 79   @ Denver L 58-70 3%     1 - 9 -2.2 +0.4 -5.3
  Dec 29, 2011 51   @ Tennessee L 55-86 2%     1 - 10 -19.3 -7.7 -13.4
  Jan 05, 2012 238   @ Furman L 45-77 15%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -33.1 -24.8 -10.0
  Jan 07, 2012 279   Samford W 73-62 43%     2 - 11 1 - 3 +0.7 +3.4 -1.0
  Jan 12, 2012 261   Elon L 55-70 39%     2 - 12 1 - 4 -24.4 -17.9 -7.7
  Jan 14, 2012 284   UNC Greensboro L 66-67 44%     2 - 13 1 - 5 -11.5 -7.2 -4.4
  Jan 21, 2012 74   @ Davidson L 51-80 3%     2 - 14 1 - 6 -18.9 -19.0 +0.0
  Jan 23, 2012 237   @ Georgia Southern L 72-78 2OT 15%     2 - 15 1 - 7 -7.1 -4.8 -1.9
  Jan 26, 2012 199   Wofford L 55-62 26%     2 - 16 1 - 8 -12.3 -14.0 +1.0
  Jan 28, 2012 238   Furman L 58-67 34%     2 - 17 1 - 9 -16.9 -13.8 -3.6
  Feb 02, 2012 284   @ UNC Greensboro L 71-82 21%     2 - 18 1 - 10 -14.7 -6.5 -7.7
  Feb 04, 2012 261   @ Elon L 66-71 18%     2 - 19 1 - 11 -7.6 -10.7 +3.4
  Feb 09, 2012 74   Davidson L 66-77 8%     2 - 20 1 - 12 -7.7 -9.7 +2.3
  Feb 11, 2012 237   Georgia Southern L 72-73 OT 34%     2 - 21 1 - 13 -8.9 -8.1 -0.7
  Feb 16, 2012 234   @ Western Carolina L 53-70 15%     2 - 22 1 - 14 -17.9 -20.4 +2.1
  Feb 18, 2012 274   @ Chattanooga W 48-46 19%     3 - 22 2 - 14 -1.0 -12.9 +12.5
  Feb 22, 2012 255   Appalachian St. W 62-51 38%     4 - 22 3 - 14 +2.0 -2.7 +7.0
  Feb 25, 2012 168   College of Charleston L 47-55 21%     4 - 23 3 - 15 -11.5 -20.7 +8.2
  Mar 02, 2012 234   Western Carolina L 56-68 23%     4 - 24 -16.3 -9.4 -9.2
Projected Record 4.0 - 24.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%